Germany's Machine Tool Industry: Q1 2025 Analysis and Outlook

Clouded outlook International projects hold up German machine tool order levels

2025-05-22 Source: VDW 2 min Reading Time

Germany’s machine tool industry saw a 10 percent drop in orders in Q1 2025, with domestic demand plummeting while foreign orders held steady. Signs of recovery in Europe and Asia — particularly from China — offer cautious optimism, but global uncertainty and weak automotive demand continue to cloud the outlook.

Order bookings in the German machine tool industry(Source: VDW) — Order bookings in the German machine tool industry
(Source: VDW)

Orders received by the German machine tool industry in the first quarter of 2025 were 10 percent down on the same period last year. Domestic orders fell by 30 percent, while orders from abroad remained at the previous year's level.

“After a generally weak start to the year, March brought a small ray of hope,” explains Dr. Markus Heering, Executive Director of the VDW (German Machine Tool Builders' Association) in Frankfurt am Main. “Orders increased by 2 percent — an initial positive signal that is primarily due to demand from abroad, particularly from the eurozone. By contrast, the German domestic market continues to fall well short of expectations,” continues Heering.

Europe remained the top sales market for the German machine tool industry in the first quarter. There was a noticeable increase in demand from many key countries. Overall, the region grew by almost a third, albeit from a low level.

The downward trend in Asia also came to an end in the first quarter. Increasing by 6 percent, the region saw positive growth again for the first time. It is particularly gratifying that China recorded slight growth again after a long hiatus. China thus replaced the US as the most important single market.

On the American continent, positive impetus came above all from projects in Mexico. Orders from the US, on the other hand, fell by a tenth. “Nothing has changed, however: US industry requires German manufacturing technology in order to modernize — there are not enough suitable domestic suppliers,” Heering emphasizes.

Among the top customer industries, medical technology and aviation are the sectors with the strongest demand, according to an economic survey of machine tool and component manufacturers conducted in the first quarter of 2025. There are also signs of recovery in the engineering sector as a whole, with encouraging growth in the first quarter of this year. The automotive industry remains the biggest worry.

“It’s too soon to speak of a trend reversal, especially in the face of increased international uncertainty due to the erratic tariff policy of the US administration,” concludes Heering. The sector sees this — along with export controls and high costs — as the biggest obstacle to a turnaround.

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Date: 08.12.2025

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